Monday, July 8, 2013

Unemployment data better than expected

On Friday, the U.S. labor market data cheered investors and stock indices advanced by 1 per cent. S & P 500 index value increased by 1.02 percent., The Dow Jones Industrial Average - had 0.98 percent., And the Nasdaq - 1.04 percent. Over the last week they rose from 1.5 to 2.2 percent. On Friday, the financial and industrial sector indices recorded major gains, but only in the utilities sector shares went down.
Today begins the second quarter of companies’ financial results announcement marathon. The first results will be published after trade marketing aluminum giant Alcoa Inc. '.

The United States


 in June of workers in non-agricultural sectors increased by 195 thousand. This data strongly exceeded the expectations of investors – it was expected only 155 thousand new jobs. Most jobs were created in bars, restaurants and hotels. Also, the number of employees increased in retail, healthcare and professional services sectors, and fell in manufacturing and government sectors. Also, the greater half of the previous month’s data has been revised. For example, in April was created 50 thousand more jobs than had been previously announced, and in May of 20 thousand. more. The unemployment rate remained unchanged - 7.6 percent, And unemployment rate, which included the unemployed and those who are no longer motivated work or do not work full-time, down from 14.3 percent to 13.8 per cent.

Western Europe

On Friday, the Western European stock market index values ​​declined 14 of the 18 national markets. U.S. labor market statistics were better than expected and it is accepted by investors as a sign that the Fed will reduce the scale of the stimulation. German factory orders fell 1.3 percent. Most economists forecasted 1.2 percent growth. Weekly change in the markets, however, was a positive sign, because the meeting of the European Central Bank and the Bank of England insisted on keeping to easy monetary policy.

Today futures index shows growth in the Western European stock market. These days, market participants again recalled the troubled euro zone, but it is expected that Greece will agree with the creditors on even one more payment. Attention will be given to ECB President M. Draghi at the European Parliament - awaiting hints of how long it will maintain low interest rate environment.

Asia

Today, Asian stock indexes fell the most in the past two weeks. Global equities MSCI Asia Pacific Index fell 1.5 percent. All 10 sectors of the economy indices decreased. China's commodity-sector shares in companies today went down the most. "Jiangxi Copper Co." And "Shandong Gold-Mining Co. shares lost 4.7 and 7.3 percent of their value. After the Chinese government to the Council on the economic reforms that have been mentioned above constraints asset management products and lending to certain sectors of the economy, China's banks are also often sold than bought. For example, China Construction Bank Corp. Swept the stock price by 2.8 per cent., While Industrial & Commercial Bank of China Ltd.'s Share price fell 2.7 percent.

Raw materials

In the last business day of the week "WTI oil prices increased 1.96 percent, brent had 2.1 percent. It was the fourth consecutive WTI Oil prices have day and same price rose to the highest level in the past fourteen months. Clashes in Egypt after the overthrow of President of the country has become a major cause of the growth in oil prices, as investors fear further unrest in a politically sensitive area. In addition, reported that closed the main Libyan oil export terminal in the port of disagreements with management staff salaries as well as security issues. By the way, the price of oil, and supported by favorable macro-economic news from the United States, related to the better-than-expected labor market data. It is likely that in the coming days, and most of this energy resource market players eyes will turn to Egypt, and the price may increase, while the situation at least a little bit complacent.

The price of gold fell 2.14 percent on Friday. up to 1223 U.S. dollars per troy ounce after the published better than expected U.S. jobs in June changes. This again shows that the Fed can really take in the near future the current conduct of monetary policy retraction. U.S. dollar against major currencies on Friday increased to the highest level in three years, and this is also the price of gold down the pushing factor. It is likely that the price of this precious metal can once again get close to 1200 U.S. dollars per troy ounce range when immediate macroeconomic data from the U.S. are positive.

Friday, July 5, 2013

Market news from yesterday and today

The European Central Bank (ECB) meeting on Thursday did not change the base rate of 0.5 per cent. Deposit rate also remained unchanged (0 percent). During the press conference the ECB's head of M. Draghi assured that in order to support the region's economic recovery, the base interest rate will remain at the current level as long as needed. M. Draghi said that the ECB Board held extensive discussions on further interest rate cuts and assured that liquidity continues to remain high. The funny thing is that it was decided unanimously to adopt a new communication policy that will lead to further monetary policy vision. After M. Draghi's comments the euro has fallen to 1.29 dollar per euro, core European equity indices values ​​jumped 2-3 percent. This morning the Asian market is also rising (Japan NIKKEI +1.81 percent. The Chinese Hang Seng +1.46 percent). Bank of England also did not change the interest rate (0.5 percent), And promotion of the program volume remained 375 billion pounds. This was the first meeting after the bank was taken over by the former head of Canada's central bank M. Carney.


Today the central event in the financial markets - the U.S. labor market data published. It is predicted to be created 165 thousand new jobs (except public and agricultural sector), and the unemployment rate dropped from 7.6 percent to 7.5 per cent. These data are particularly welcome, as will make an impression on the U.S. economy trends, which will help in predicting further Fed action.

Tuesday, July 2, 2013

Overview of markets for last week

Europe

Trading sessions in Europe in 2013! Last week ended with most of the major indices fall. Investor sentiment was negatively affected by news from the U.S., where the Chicago Purchasing Managers Association of Business Activity Index in 2013 June fell to 51.6 points from 58.7 points in May. Meanwhile, analysts predicted the index value at the level of 56.0 points.

In 2013. June 28. trading session, the British FTSE index fell 27.93 points (-0.45%) - up to 6,215.47 points, the German DAX index fell 31.53 points (-0.39%) - up to 7,959.22 points, the French CAC 40 fell 23.28 points (-0.62%) - up to 3738.91 points. Swiss SMI rose 11.08 points (0.15%) - to 7731.82 points, the Dutch AEX fell 0.16 points (0.05%) - up 344.59 points. Single European FTSEurofirst 300 index, data session, fell by 0.44% to reach 1,152.36 points level.

U.S.

The trading session of the United States in 2013. Last week major indexes ended with fall after four days of growth. The core of that was a negative impact on investors' concerns about the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) quantitative easing program cuts.

In addition, the quotes drop was influenced by negative macroeconomic statistics. Chicago Purchasing Managers Association of Business Activity Index (PMI) fell more than predicted by experts.

In 2013 June 28. trading session, the Dow Jones index fell 114.89 points (-0.76%) - up to 14,909.60 points, the S & P index of - 6.92 points (-0.43%) - up to 1605.28 points, the Nasdaq index rose 1.39 points (+0.04%) - to 3403.25 points.

Japan

The trading session in Japan in 2013 June 28. Nikkei index ended 3.51% rise on positive macroeconomic data from the U.S.

Main Index boom ensured particularly positive news from the U.S., where the weak GDP data delayed fast the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed) quantitative "smoothing" policy Reduction.

In 2013. June 28. trading session, the Nikkei index rose 3.51% and amounted to 13,677.32 points. The dollar against the yen rose 1.06 yen compared to the previous trading day course and at the end of trading session was 98.87 yen / dollars.